Open Thread: What is your 2016 Congressional election scenarios?

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Wednesday November 04, 2015 · 11:48 AM PST

2015/11/04 · 11:48

I have been seeing plenty of articles about how Democrats are attempting to prepare for a wave if the GOP nominates a bad nominee. I think that its great to prepare but we need to see what a realistic House would be.

I would like this thread to just focus on the districts that likely would be subject to a wave. My map is more anecdotal than data driven; I am basing my map based on poor downticket coattails for a Trump nominee. I can be wrong (likely will) however I miss the days of 2010-2012 where DK Elections map nerds would post redistricting maps and analyze the geographic/demographic/political changes that are afoot across the US.

My map makes the assumption that the GOP will hold rural and socially conservative America and lose some upper class suburbs. I read this Politico article and figured I'd play with it

Did not want to have a large write up as I think it would hurt the thought experiment here, If you want to discuss the Senate flipping feel free to reply with your idea; I used 270 to Win's House Elections map, there is also a Senate version too please lets see some maps and have a horse race discussion.

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Open Thread: What is your 2016 Congressional election scenarios?

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